The Rushmore Report: Will O.J. Go Free? The Betting Odds


It might be the biggest parole hearing of all time. The fate of football legend O.J. Simpson will be decided today by the Nevada Board of Parole of Commissioners. Networks including ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and ESPN will air the hearing live. More than 250 media credentials have been issued for the event. And Las Vegas has actually issued betting odds on whether O.J. will go free – and on much more.

Simpson, who is now 70 years old, was sentenced to a minimum of nine years and a maximum of 33 for his role in an armed robbery of two sports memorabilia agents at a Las Vegas casino in 2008. He is currently incarcerated at Lovelock Correctional Center in Nevada.

Close friend Tom Scotto told USA Today that Simpson is optimistic about his chances of being paroled.

Most experts seem to agree. Even the man who put him behind bars, retired Clark County District Attorney David Roger, supports his release. And his attorney, Yale Galanter, says Simpson has been a model inmate.

If paroled, O.J. will be eligible for release on October 1. If he is not paroled, his next chance comes in January, 2018.

Now for the fun part. Sports Betting Experts has set betting odds on the parole hearing and on some of the questions concerning what life will be like for Simpson if he is set free.

On the basic question of whether Simpson will be paroled, the odds are 4-to-3 that he will be. Then it gets interesting. Rather than giving the exact odds on the numerous scenarios Sports Betting Experts considered, I’ll lay out what they say are the most likely outcomes for each situation.

For those of us who remember watching the famous Bronco chase, or better yet, remember O.J.’s remarkable career as one of the best running backs in NFL history, to see what is most likely to come next is intriguing. This is what betters say will come next. And yes, you can actually bet on this stuff.

  1. Will O.J. be paroled? Yes.
  2. Will O.J. address the parole board? Yes.
  3. Will Donald Trump reference O.J. Simpson in a Tweet by the end of the week? No. (I say take this bet!)
  4. Will Simpson be greeted by any of his children upon his release? Yes.
  5. Will O.J. speak to the media as he departs? No.
  6. Will he release a book within one year? Yes.
  7. Where will O.J. live after he is released? Florida.
  8. Will the families of Nicole Brown or Ron Goldman release a statement? Yes.
  9. Who will conduct the first live interview with Simpson? Oprah Winfrey.
  10. Where will his first stop be? Home/hotel.
  11. Will O.J. ever go back to prison? No.
  12. Will any of his old attorneys make a statement? No.
  13. Will “Kato” Kaelin make a statement? No. (Too bad!)
  14. Will the NFL say anything about O.J.’s release? No.

O.J. Simpson was found not guilty of killing his ex-wife Nicole Brown Simpson and her friend, Ron Goldman, in 1995. A civil jury ordered Simpson to pay $33.4 million to the deceased’s families in 1997. And in a few months, O.J. will likely walk free, move to Florida, do an interview with Oprah, and write a book.

And then perhaps he can finally begin his much-anticipated search for the real killer.


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